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Tuesday, Jan 07, 2025

UK Business Confidence Declines Amid Rising Costs and Tax Hikes

A British Chambers of Commerce survey reveals widespread concern among firms over tax increases, rising costs, and economic uncertainty.
Confidence among UK businesses has dropped to its lowest level in two years, according to a survey conducted by the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC).

The survey, which included responses from more than 4,800 firms, highlights growing concerns over rising costs and tax increases, including a planned hike in national insurance contributions (NICs).

Tax Concerns and Cost Pressures
The BCC found that 63% of firms expressed concern about taxes following the recent Budget, marking the highest level of tax-related anxiety since 2017.

The Budget announced an increase in employer NICs, set to take effect in April, along with a higher National Living Wage.

These measures have sparked fears of job cuts and price hikes, with more than half of the surveyed businesses indicating they plan to raise prices in the next three months.

Kevin McNamee, CEO of Denroy Group, a Northern Ireland-based plastics manufacturer, described the financial burden on his company as "really significant." He noted that the combined impact of the NICs increase and the minimum wage rise would cost the firm hundreds of thousands of pounds annually.

"Businesses have been shocked by these changes," McNamee said, adding that the measures could force companies to prioritize productivity over job creation.

Economic Growth and Business Investment
The broader economic picture has added to the challenges facing UK firms.

Official data released before Christmas showed zero economic growth between July and September, followed by a contraction in October.

These figures have heightened scrutiny of the government's efforts to boost economic performance.

The BCC’s survey revealed that only 49% of firms expect sales to increase over the next year, the lowest confidence level since the aftermath of the controversial mini-budget in late 2022.

Shevaun Haviland, director general of the BCC, stated, "Businesses are already cutting back on investment and say they will have to put up prices in the coming months."

Government Response
A Treasury spokesperson defended the Budget, describing it as a "once-in-a-parliament" effort to stabilize the economy and foster growth.

The spokesperson emphasized that more than half of employers would see a reduction or no change in their NIC bills.

Additionally, measures such as capping corporation tax at the lowest level in the G7, creating pension megafunds, and establishing a National Wealth Fund were cited as steps to promote investment and reform.

Broader Implications
Labour has promised to deliver sustained economic growth, with leader Sir Keir Starmer aiming to position the UK at the top of the G7 growth rankings.

Meanwhile, the government faces mounting pressure from businesses to provide more targeted support to address rising costs and foster an environment conducive to growth.

The BCC survey underscores the strain on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which accounted for 91% of the respondents.

The data reveal a business landscape grappling with high costs, tax burdens, and an uncertain economic outlook.

Whether government measures can restore confidence and encourage investment remains to be seen as businesses navigate these challenges.
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